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The strategy proposed by the Wizard is very easy to master, expect for the 'less than 21 outs' rule. See the game and rules here: https://wizardofodds.com/games/ultimate-texas-hold-em/
Here is an example. I have pocket 3s4d and the board is 10s, 10h, Qd, Jd, 9d.
I counted 19 outs: (Q+J + Nine) *3 + Tens * 2 + (A + K) * 4.
So I chose to call, but the game tells me the that's wrong play and I should fold.
What am I counting wrong? Sorry if my lingo is incorrect.
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However my understanding is the outs rule only counts the effect of single cards being dealt, not combinations, so the potential pocket pair or 2 to a flush would not factor in. I may be wrong.
Thanks, four eights bring the total to 23 and into fold territory. My rookie mistake.
However my understanding is the outs rule only counts the effect of single cards being dealt, not combinations, so the potential pocket pair or 2 to a flush would not factor in. I may be wrong.
Actually it does. When counting single, as in a hole card games, you call with 10 (edit: or 11. Been so long I've forgotten) bad outs or less that either give you a win or push.
For the 21 outs, you count potential pairs, and not straights and flush possibilities, which is not to say they don't matter. To avoid the wrong play, you need to use a better strategy than the Wizard's ... he would agree with that I think.
Usually counting the outs, it is an end decision about whether your kicker is good enough. Using the Wizard strategy, you have to get a gut feeling about potential dealer straights and flushes and modify your decisions.
Fold
You can be beaten by Ace, King, Queen, Jack, Ten, 9, 8
If Dealer is 7-high or less (no two diamonds) PUSH
Chances (23/45 + 22/44) Dealer wins, (22/45 + 16/44) Push
Looks like a negative EV
98
Holding 3-4 off-suit?
Fold
You can be beaten by Ace, King, Queen, Jack, Ten, 9, 8
If Dealer is 7-high or less (no two diamonds) PUSH
Chances (23/45 + 22/44) Dealer wins, (22/45 + 16/44) Push
Looks like a negative EV
98
if you mean 3 of spades and 4 of diamonds is what you held, I have no idea why you would think there was some prayer counting outs. There must be something I am not getting.
i thought you meant you had pocket 3s, i.e. a pair of 3s ... and kind of ignored the rest that didnt make sense
if you mean 3 of spades and 4 of diamonds is what you held, I have no idea why you would think there was some prayer counting outs. There must be something I am not getting.